Trends in Infant Mortality Rate and Policy Impact in India: A Systematic Assessment
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63682/jns.v14i32S.7741Keywords:
Infant Mortality Rate, India, Trend Analysis, Public Health Programmes, Equity, Ballabgarh, Jammu & KashmirAbstract
Background: Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is a pivotal indicator of health systems. This study systematically assesses IMR trends in India (1995–2020) and Jammu & Kashmir, correlates them with national programmes (e.g., NRHM, JSY, Mission Indradhanush), and contextualizes findings via NFHS equity analyses and the Ballabgarh project case study.
Methods: Annual IMR data were analyzed using LOESS smoothing and linear regression. Equity trends were evaluated via NFHS‐1 to NFHS‐4 data [5]. The Ballabgarh project outcomes (1972–1997) were reviewed [6]. Model fit was assessed by R².
Results: IMR declines (per year) were India Total −1.685, Rural −1.983, Urban −1.000, J&K −1.769 (R² ≥ 0.996). Equity gaps narrowed post-NHM but persisted for SC/ST and poorest quintiles. The Ballabgarh project demonstrated a significant reduction in neonatal mortality rates over the study period, indicating the effectiveness of a focused primary healthcare intervention and stands as strong evidence that neonatal mortality can be reduced to Kerala-like levels independent of socioeconomic development. These outcomes suggest that localized, sustained interventions can achieve substantial improvements in neonatal health outcomes, potentially serving as a model for similar rural healthcare programs across India.
Conclusion: Coordinated policy interventions drove sustained IMR reduction. Targeted rural schemes and equity-focused strategies are crucial. Lessons from NFHS and Ballabgarh guide future programme refinements.
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